It can be easily adapted into various tabular or electronic formats for easy use by clinicians

It is therefore important for clinicians to have clinical presentation-based guides to assist in diagnosing influenza cases for treatment and further management, especially during an epidemic or pandemic. Influenza-positive and negative cases had several differing clinical parameters. We have found that influenza-positive cases were more likely to have running nose compared to influenza- negative cases, similar to the findings from another general population study in the tropics. This is contrary to previous belief that running nose is less common in influenza compared to other viral respiratory illnesses. Likewise, influenza cases also had similar prevalence of cough with sputum compared to non- influenza cases, also contrary to previous belief. At the same time, influenza cases were more likely to have higher temperature and chills and rigors but less likely to present with sore throat, providing supporting evidence to a previous study by Monto and colleagues that one of the most predictive symptoms of influenza is fever. However, unlike that study, we did not find that cough was a predictive symptom for influenza. Possible reasons for such a difference include the Hexamethonium Bromide potentially different aetiologies for non-influenza cases in the tropics and other regions, and also possible differences in influenza presentation by region. It is therefore important to validate these predictive tools in the local setting where they are used. In the absence of laboratory testing, using our clinical diagnostic model enabled accurate classification of up to 76% of all cases in our cohort. Keeping sensitivity at 90%, we were able to achieve a high negative predictive value of 86%, which is useful for clinicians in excluding influenza cases. The positive predictive value, on the other hand, is low due to the substantial overlap in symptoms between influenza and non-influenza cases. The clinical diagnostic model performed significantly better than standard ILI criteria among our subjects with febrile respiratory infections. It can be easily adapted into various tabular or electronic formats for easy use by clinicians. This, if taken together with specific policy and cost evaluations in the local setting, may help guide initiation of anti-viral treatment or isolation measures during an epidemic or pandemic situation while reducing wrong treatment of non-influenza cases to minimize stockpile wastages. The strengths of our study are its large sample size, high Halcinonide follow-up rate, and high diagnostic ascertainment, with etiological confirmation of all positive influenza cases. There are some limitations to this study, including the natural bias towards febrile symptomatic cases due to the case definition. Influenza cases do present with mild or asymptomatic infection, but these cases will be difficult to identify in a surveillance program and are less severe in clinical outcome. The results should therefore be interpreted in the context of febrile symptomatic infection requiring physician consultation, which capture the more severe and important cases that affect absenteeism. In addition, this study predominantly considered young male adults. While we felt that there is no evidence that shows any differences in presentation by gender, further studies are required to determine if similarly high diagnostic ascertainment can be achieved in other age groups.